I’ve been caught in a few riots now. Vancouver in 1994 and Jakarta in 1998 are the more vivid ones that come to mind. They’re really not cool…even if I’d been in the market for a new TV they wouldn’t have been cool. On both occasions I felt completely detached from reality. I mean, the buildings around me, the shops, the signs…all of it was everyday-familiar, except the entire human race had been replaced with raving, drooling pod people trashing everything in sight. It was like I’d dropped some bad acid and jumped headlong through the looking glass.
When I look back on those events, nobody should have been surprised. In 1994 I even remember sitting in a restaurant the day before saying, “if Vancouver loses the game tomorrow it’s gonna be bad”. Sure enough…
While you can’t predict a riot breaking out with certainty, if you’re well enough informed, you can certainly gauge the likelihood of one. Think of civil unrest like a bomb. Anything that captures the collective mind of a large group of people, gets them excited and causes them to assemble en masse creates the fuse. This would include:
- political or corporate oppression: wait for the straw that breaks the camel’s back
- minority oppression: every country has its own sets of minorities…they get frustrated too
- economic suffering: especially a sudden and extreme economic change for the worse
- dashed hopes: anticipated sports events gone awry…Vancouver, how you shamed me
- public outrage: think Paul Barnardo and Rodney King
A fuse is no good without a spark. In most cases, excited people congregate, demonstrate, and then disperse on their own. However, if the conditions are right, and the fuse gets lit, things can turn ugly real fast. The Miami Police Department identified seven elements of civil unrest.
Locals are generally hip to what’s going on. They’ll know if something bad could happen because they’ve been living with their issues every day. They can choose to stay away from places they think might erupt. Travelers, on the other hand, are often blissfully ignorant of the plights of locals. That’s a problem because once the fuse is lit, the riot bomb can explode very, very fast. If a traveler is caught, he or she has no choice but to deal with it, and try to avoid the bullets.
I can’t jump up and down enough about the need for current information about places you’re bound for. Books are okay, but the problem with books is that they’re only current as at the date of publication. The news is where it’s at. Be ravenous for news before you leave. Find out what’s going on in the city, get a feel for what the locals have to put up with. You might decide to make different travel arrangements, or try and get better security for yourself. If you think there’s a likelihood of trouble brewing in certain neighbourhoods, avoid those areas. If you think it’s gonna be bad city-wide, maybe you want to scrap the trip altogether, or go someplace else.
Trust me, it’s one rabbit hole you don’t want to go down.